Wednesday, October 06, 2010

U.S. Dollar Holds Steady but Further Weakening Expected - Wednesday, October 06

In Asian trading today, the U.S. Dollar held steady versus the Japanese Yen, but the market is merely waiting for the greenback to further soften once the Federal Reserve Bank takes additional quantitative easing measures, as most investors anticipate they will.

November 2nd and 3rd will be the next scheduled meeting of the Fed’s Open Market Committee; speculation that additional steps will be taken by the central bankers in an effort to spur on the sluggish economy is practically a foregone conclusion. As reported at 2:50 p.m. (JST) in Tokyo, the U.S. Dollar held at 83.17 Yen, just off Tuesday’s late trading in New York of 83.18 Yen.

Investors will use this week’s release of payroll data to help gauge any potential movements by the Fed. Economists are predicting that non-farms payroll data will show an increase in new jobs by 20,000; in August, approximately 10,000 jobs were shed. Should the forecast prove incorrect, expect that the U.S.

Dollar will be more aggressively sold, with a target of 82.90 Yen, nearing the level at which the Japanese Ministry of Finance intervened. Whether or not Japan will intervene again remains to be seen, as many investors feel certain that it would not be any time soon, given the recent quantitative easing measures taken by the Bank of Japan.